Dalelorenzo's GDI Blog
2May/210

JP Morgan and Citi pledge multi-trillion dollar green finance blitzes

JP Morgan and Citi pledge multi-trillion dollar green finance blitzes

Investment banks bolster their environment finance commitments for coming decade in last wave of Wall st. net zero financing targets

US investment banks JP Morgan Chase and Citi have significantly ramped up their environment finance commitments, yesterday launching schedules that would amount to several trillion dollars in sustained and low-grade carbon investment in the coming decade.

In separate bulletins yesterday, Citi has committed to delivering$ 1tr in sustainable finance by 2030, of which half will go to climate answers, while JP Morgan Chase said here today promote and finance$ 1tr in lettuce initiatives by the end of the activities of the decade as part of a major $2.5 tr sustainable finance target. The two banks, which are among the world's largest funders of fossil fuels, both quoted the need to use their significant influence to tackle climate change.

In a blog post on Thursday morning, Citi's head of global public affairs Ed Skyler sanctioned the bank would support a wide array of environment mixtures, including renewable energy, lettuce constructs, sustainable agriculture, and clean-living engineerings, aimed at accelerating the transition to a sustainable and low-carbon economy.

The bank's existing target to deliver $250 bn of environmental finance by 2025 has been ramped up to unlocking $500 bn by the end of the decade, it said.

"Given our world-wide footprint and our capacity in supporting financial undertaking around the world, Citi has a capacity to play in achieving the[ UN] Sustainable Development Goals - and in this moment as we look towards surfacing and rehabilitating from the Covid-1 9 pandemic, it's more crucial than ever that we address these priorities together, " Skyler wrote.

It comes only weeks after Citi announced it is targeting net zero enterprises by 2030 as well as net zero financed emissions by mid-century, amid a gesticulate of climate hopes that have swept US investment banks in recent months.

JP Morgan, meanwhile, yesterday committed to unlocking$ 1tr of such investments for initiatives that accelerate the deployment clean energy and promote the transition towards a low-carbon economy by the end of 2030, as part of a broader $2.5 tr financing programme dedicated to sustainable development.

JP Morgan CEO and chairperson Jamie Simon said the bank was "committed to doing its part" in delivering a low-carbon economy. "Climate change and difference are two of the critical issues of our time, and these brand-new exertions will help create sustainable economic development that should contribute to a greener planet and critical investments in underserved communities, " he said. "Business, government and policy leaders must work together to support long-term mixtures that improvement fiscal inclusion, bolster sustained economic development and further the transition to a low-carbon economy."

The bank, which is the largest in the US by assets, said it would help its consumers "navigate the challenges and long-term benefits" of the low carbon modulation through sustainability-focused, research and advisory services and a dedicated 'green economy' team that specialises on clean-living vigour, economy technologies, sustainable finance and agriculture and food technology.

It follows the JP Morgan's commitment last year to align its financing works with the goals set by the Paris Agreement.

The recent bulletins from JP Morgan and Citi come less than a few weeks after Wall Street rival Bank of America similarly committed to providing$ 1tr in "low carbon investment" by the end of the activities of the decade, as part of its own recently-announced goal of delivering net zero emissions across its financing work, operations and supply chain by mid-century.

Yet such commitments from major US investment banks are unlikely to quell scepticism from green activists, as many of these fiscal monstrous followed up with plough substantial sums of investment into fossil fuel industries. Statistics published earlier this month by the Rainforest Action Network revealed Citi and JP Morgan Chase are the banking sector's most prolific fossil fuel funders, having cater $237.5 bn and $316.7 bn respectively into fossil fuel houses in the five years since the Paris Agreement. Green groups have therefore chosen to bickered long-term climate targets and finance commitments must also be backed by act in the short term to divest from fossil fuel firms.

Read more: businessgreen.com

1Apr/210

Covid created haves and have nots: Uday Kotak

Uday Kotak, MD& CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank, in gossip with Nikunj Dalmia of ET NOW at the Times Network India Economic Conclave 2021. During the last India Economic Conclave( IEC ), you had said that India needs banks but it needs few PSU banks, it needs adaptation of fintech and it needs consolidation in the sector. I guess you knew what was happening because that indeed is happening one year after our interaction? I do believe that India has built very serious progress in this pandemic age and actually comprehended the opportunity of what we need to do. Therefore the financial sector is in for a major change. The government’s move of testing out with two public sphere banks is first of its nature and this combined with the fact that over experience you will have four or five massive state owned banks and private sector companies banks and at the same time opening up competition in the sector is the right way to go. At the same time, we need to be clear that in the last one year, Covid has changed our lives in the field of technology and financial services by a multiplier of five. What ought to have been otherwise taken us five years is happening in one year. That is what we are going to be ready for. During the course of 2020 every time we interacted with you on many meetings your words were: “India Inc has been hit. It is like a ship which is now trapped in obscure waters.” Is the challenging occasion behind us? Has the ship reached the shore? Covid has created a new list of what I call as haves and has not been able to. The people who have had access to capital are in the category of haves and that is primarily the organised area or corporations which have access to public marketplaces as also private equity and the have nots are the ones who did not have access to capital. There is a exceedingly stark difference between the haves and the have nots, based on access to capital. Therefore, even if you are from a emphasized sector, if you have access to capital you are in good shape. If you do not have access to capital, you are in a tougher rank and that is the difference which we have witness happen in front of us. That is as a result of stunning pour of fund and liquidity globally and in India as well. That has enabled equity capital to rescue most of the organised area. The expansive treatise from India Inc is one of highest-ever perimeters, strongest requirement visibility and high-pitched confidence. A years ago, there was fear, gloom and doom on the Street. How does one differentiate the kind of indications which we are getting from India Inc .? Are these permanent or are there spurts of ask like carbohydrate rushing? One year ago we did not know what made us, we had no idea of the contours of the Covid impact. Today one year later, we seem to understand the virus a little better though it continues to mutate. At the same time, there is greater optimism on the possibility of vaccination of a lot of our parties though I think it is going to take a few months more for us to get to a more pleasant plaza. At the same time, we have started being able to deal with this virus in terms of our lives, what we can do, what we cannot do. We have adapted our life to the brand-new reality. All these are the pluses and that is one of the reasons why business and industry feels they are in a better place than what it was one year ago. Having said that, things will need to be better administered on the virus and vaccination moving forward but we have to be careful of a mindset of self-complacency. The virus has not gone one year later. It is still around and we feel more comfy with it. But the virus is mutating and therefore I is necessarily be looking with hope because we are seeing a reformed world-wide. But I stop my ward up. I would not lower my picket too soon and make this more a marathon rather than a sprint.

Read more: economictimes.indiatimes.com

27Mar/210

Timt to bet on FMCG mid & smallcaps: Anshul Saigal

If one can find the freedom appoints in that space, with a one-two year occasion range, there is definitely money to be made in FMCG space, says Anshul Saigal, Portfolio Manager& Head-PMS, Kotak Mahindra AMC.On privates versus PSU banksThe trend vis-a-vis the large cap private banks and the PSU banks has been laid out over many years and conditions have not changed for this trend to change. It looks like the trend of some market share gains by private sector companies banks is going to continue in the future -- foreseeable as well as distant. The veer came strengthened by the fact that some of the banks were able to access the capital sells and conjure uppercase and strengthen their balance sheets which allows them to gain market share even faster going forward. Clearly those banks were more on the private area than the PSU side. Also one cannot overlook the fact that the consumers want to go to more credible actors for their bank requirements, in this case the private banks. All the conditions seem to suggest that the trend of market share amplifications is going to continue and there are 4-5 sizable private sector companies banks and there is a lot of market share to be taken. If the banking pie is worth Rs 100, then Rs 70 goes to PSUs, about Rs 10 -1 2 to NBFCs and the rest goes to private sector banks. Even though the private sector banks have outperformed in recent times, but clearly their share is very small in the context of the overall bank tart in its own country. So nothing would seem to indicate that private sector banks will see a hasten protrusion. On FMCG theme and midcap playersWe have seen that over the last 2 to three years, the FMCG space and the consumption cavity in general has been less correlated to financial act. We have visualized outperformance in this space compared to the rest of the markets. The outperformance has now become so austere that many of these FMCG fellowships were transactions at unsustainable valuation differentials and that required either FMCG valuations would need to correct or the rest of the market would need to see an expansion in valuations to catch up. In the past six odd months, FMCG companionships has already been underperformed the broader markets. The valuation spread is tightening and the rest of the market is outperforming the FMCG space though there is always scope to make money if you are a stock picker. In the mid and smallcap space, even in the FMCG segment there are opportunities to make money. There are tailwinds and to a certain extent animal forces have come out as beings are going out and spending and the sentimentality is improving. All these things are leading to volume growth in the mid and smallcap seat. If one can find the freedom specifies in that space, with a one-two year age scope, there is definitely money to be made in FMCG space. On whether BPCL and BEML are worthy of long-term investment or transactions pots on disinvestment newsAnshul Saigal: Both these companies are corporations with different ventures embedded in one company. For instance, BEML has a metro business, a excuse business and certain other industries. BPCL has an oil marketing business, a refining the enterprises and it has oil and gas wells for extraction. These are very different jobs, all embedded into a company. Someone coming to buy these companies will have to keep in mind that they are buying a conglomerate rather than a standalone business with a single cable of business. These corporations would have been of greater value had they been split and sold differently because people would have had the opportunity to get into the different indications of enterprises and have that risk profile added to their portfolios. But these are still very valuable and enormous assets. After disinvestment, numerous PSU companionships become much more efficient and much more client oriented. Their industries have grown manifold over the years, BSNL being a case in point. There may be value for strategic investors in these companies and the nature of these professions may be very different formerly this divestment plays out. So tactical investors may find value in both the stocks in the short term as also in the long term.On how to play the real estate and residence expect resurgence -- via plaster and real estate majors or via ancillaries In the US and Canada, where there is a recovery in real estate properties, while real estate rates had moved up marginally, the log costs have double-faced because unlike in India where we use concrete to build constructs, in the US and Canada they use wood and log and those prices have virtually double-dealing. So clearly in the US, construct information are a great behavior to play the real estate recovery. Similarly, in India, residence improvement and building substances are a very interesting method to play the real estate recovery. We are coming off virtually 6-7 years of consolidation in real estate and conditions are such that fringe players or weaker musicians are out of the market and the stronger actors are becoming stronger. The busines is consolidating in their spare. In 2017, the listed players had about 6-7% of market share in the Indian real estate space. That market share in three to four years, has gone up to 22%. This tells us that these companies are becoming stronger and too that organised actors "whos doing" gratifying to organised real estate firms are going to see market share incomes and this trend will strengthen going forward. Home improvement frisks -- be it tiles, sanitaryware, faucets, plywood etc or improving fabrics; plaster, steel -- all stand to benefit from a real estate recovery. And so I would say that that could be a nice way to play a recovery if one believes there is going to be a recovery then those would be a neat space to play the real estate improvement. On crude prices and power& oil marketing companiesAll commodity expenditures, including exertion rates are appreciating an uptick and the outlook for these expenditures is that they can remain strong and picture an upward path move forward. However, the free movement of persons in stock tolls as too exertion prices is only a fraction of the flower that we learnt in 2007 -0 8 and 12 -1 3 years have transferred after that peak. We are still a fraction of those tolls in terms of where commodity expenditures are today. If merchandise tolls continue this trend upwards, then we could continue to see an expansion in gross refining perimeters. We have realise deepened interest in energy and petroleum extraction companionships. Another interesting way to play this trend would be to bet on sugar now as with ethanol mixing, carbohydrate has become a play on energy. It becomes an interesting play as vigor prices become stronger going forward.

Read more: economictimes.indiatimes.com

17Mar/210

This is a market to buy, bet on these 4 pockets

As the consumers’ ability to spend in various fronts increases, the weightage of consumer stocks will increase in the indicators, says Chakri Lokapriya, CIO& MD, TCG AMC. Where are you at in areas of pickings in bank broths? Are you looking at some of the recipients of the combination and privatisation that we are going to see in the seat now? What about some of the smallest calls in the banking pack? There are a lot of pockets that will manifest for various reasons. One is the low priced PSU banks like Canara Bank, Union Bank. These banks are still trading at very low valuations, their GNPAs are coming down, their provisions are improving, and with the capital infusion that is around the corner, their balance sheets will look stronger. Whenever the bad bank ARC happens, it will be a very significant positive, which signifies the outlook for these smaller sized banks like Canara Bank looks very strong. On the other hand, is 15 -2 0% of the recognition flows through PSU banks or various government relevant campaigns. Wherever the money is flowing, the taxes are there. A couple of years ago, there was some amount of withdrawal from some of the PSU entities. Things like that will start returning. It is an incremental positive but not a huge, big positive because it is largely a dissemination of the same pie. But considering the fact that the overall credit is going to pick up, companies like RBL Bank which is still trading at only about one time book, down from three times book earlier, are going to see a significant upside. Finally, residence corporations like Repco which are trading at 0.6 -0. 7 seasons bible but have really decent business, will too advantage. With the inclusion of Tata Consumer , now there are six-seven purchaser companionships on the index. What do you stimulate of that and the kind of weightage they are given? Nifty historically has always underrepresented consumer interests broths. It was about three or four corporations and now Tata Consumer has also entered the index. In spite of that, companies like ITC have a very big heavines and a number of companionships like Jubilant, PVR -- which are all consumer facing corporations are still not will take part in the Nifty. It is a welcome thing that Tata Consumer is now a part of the index. It is a different matter that it is an expensive stock but on the other hand, greater India is still a 75% plus services economy. As the consumers’ ability to spend in various fronts increases, the weightage of purchaser assets will be enhanced. A case in point is the S& P 500 in the US. Two-thirds of the weight is buyer. We have a long long way to go from here to there. It seems that this is a buy on drop-off marketplace and the cop loped is pretty much intact. What would you be dared to buy afresh? Clearly it is a market to buy and there would be all the cyclically facing words, banks and financial services; second is metals because the world mobilize in metal prices will help companies like Hindalco, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel and Power. Third, the domestic facing infra companionships like Sadbhav Engineering, Nagarjuna Construction, PNC firms will benefit from the government’s push. Finally, the PLI firms like DLink and various other business which will benefit from a quick move to PLI are the types of sectors and companies I am concentrating on. We have been moving this move on crude and given that it is now inching higher at near one year highs what are you become of it and the resulting impact on specific identifies as well in light of that? Crude is manifesting the backlash and global economies. Last-place time, following pandemic lockdowns, lubricant had disintegrated to below $ 30 and now with the world opening up, it is back to about the $60 - $70 collection which is normally a exceedingly sustainable list for India’s economy. In prescribe to control inflation, it is possible to reduce the taxes which are making for half of the petrol and diesel expenditures and which have an impact on inflation. But in an economy which is rebounding at the current petrol and diesel costs, it is unlikely to make a significant dent on challenge especially when it is coming back strong. Where are you obtaining the potential for multifold returns if we look at the broader markets? In the broader market as well as the front line, look at the automobile ancillary firms -- be it tyre companies or some of the other ancillary corporations. Second is the metal companies and front line firms Tata Steel, Hindalco, Jindal Steel and Power will do is a good one. Thirdly and most importantly, financing of the. With the ascribe uptick across banks -- private and public sector -- and NBFCs, business will be the biggest beneficiaries. They have cleaned up their works in the last couple of years. As the economy improves, the valuations will improve for SBI, the smaller copies or even for "the worlds biggest" banks.

Read more: economictimes.indiatimes.com

8Mar/210

Which financial ratios tell you best about the health of a bank

The banking sector truly wonders the health of the economy. A bank must maintain a balance between growth and gamble. Analysis of banking capitals is not like analyzing stocks of any other business. Banks get money through sediments or debt in order to have liquidity to extend as lends and to invest to generate treasury income.Before jumping in to understand how to analyze bank inventories, one needs to understand the business model of banks and how they make money. Banks mostly make money through a combination of spread income and fee income. One should always look at the core business of the bank, both retail and corporate banking. The proportions of these two in the bank’s total revenue should ever be very healthy. A bank’s presence across the market should be also evenly balanced.As banks have unique attributes, specific fiscal rates provide useful revelations, more so than the others. One needs to look at different parameters such as cyberspace interest income( NII ), net interest perimeter( NIM ), provisioning coverage fraction( PCR ), fund suitability rate( Auto ), Current Account-Savings Account( CASA) fraction , non-performing assets( NPA ), gross non-performing asset( GNPA) and slippages. A bank has to pay interest on the borrowed money, and makes interest on the money it has given. So, investors should analyse the difference between the interest earned by the bank and interest paid, which generates the net interest income( NII ). Investors should also minutely look at total accumulations, total boosts and net interest boundary. A bank that maintains a low-pitched ADR( Advance-Deposit Ratio) is considered safe. Eventually, investors should analyze the capital adequacy ratio( CAR ). Higher the capital adequacy ratio( CAR ), the more the chances of the bank being on the safer feature, symbolizing thereby, that the bank is strengthening its capital funds and monetary growth.Another important parameter is blatant NPA and net NPA. Basically , non-performing assets( NPAs) are recorded on a bank's balance sheet after a prolonged period of non-payment by the borrower. One should ever look out for these multitudes and how they deepen with time. In case of higher NPA, the borrowings get riskier and the bank would need to focus on recovery of the borrowing amounts. Usually, if a bank is into retail borrowing business, then probably the NPA may be lower, whereas, in corporate banking, the NPA heights are generally higher, because if any company defaults, the NPA number shoots up. Another point to watch is the provision coverage rate( PCR ), which indicates the extent to which a bank provided for under the weaker one of the purposes of its lend portfolio. A high PCR shows the bank may further provisions in the coming years would be relatively low, unless the GNPAs rise at a faster time. Investors should also consider the slippage ratio, as a sharp rise in slippage can have a major impact on provisioning and net profit. Low slippage, or no slippage, reflects good quality of assets. Another important factor is the Casa ratio. It goes to show that much deposit a bank has in the form of the share of current and saving account deposits in total sediments. Investors is appropriate to look at the Casa ratio to understand a bank’s monetary health. Higher the Casa ratio, better is its operating effectivenes. NIM is yet another factor to look at, as it appraises the effectiveness of a company’s investment decision. A positive net interest boundary indicates that the bank is efficiently investing, whereas a negative net interest margin implies inefficient investing.Most importantly, a bank management’s forward guidance is an equally important event to watch before coming making an investment decision. Instead of looking at time the current counts, fractions is appropriate to be compared against their historic quantities. This will give an understanding as to whether those figures have improved or not. Moreover, these rates should be compared with peer banks and the industry average to decide the position of a bank with regards to its entrants and whether one should invest in that special bank asset or not .( DK Aggarwal is the CMD of SMC Investment and Advisors)

Read more: economictimes.indiatimes.com